What is the Index of Services Production (ISP)?

The Index of Services Production (ISP) is a monthly high-frequency macroeconomic indicator developed by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) to measure short-term changes in the real output of India's formal services sector. It serves as a counterpart to the existing Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for the industrial sector.

Why was ISP Introduced?

  • Significance of Services Sector: Services contribute over 50% of India's Gross Value Added (GVA) since 2013-14
  • Data Gap: Despite this dominance, no monthly, high-frequency indicator existed to track real growth in the services sector
  • Policy Need: The ISP strengthens economic monitoring, supports policy formulation, and improves economic forecasting
  • Complementary Role: It complements the IIP in tracking overall economic activity

Key Features of ISP

Scope and Limitations

  • Restricted to formal sector only
  • Excludes: Non-market government activities, personal services, informal sector, public administration & defence, gambling, and government-run health/education

Methodological Framework

  • Base Year: 2024-25 (aligned with rebased CPI series)
  • Index Type: Fixed-weight Laspeyres volume index
  • Weighting: GVA-based weights reflecting relative economic importance of each services sector
  • Output Measurement: Tracks volume of output, transforming nominal turnover into real growth using deflators

Data Sources

SourceSectors Covered
Administrative/Secondary DataAir Transport, Railways, Banking, Insurance
GST DataTrade, Transport, Telecommunications, Accommodation, Real Estate, Professional Services, Arts & Recreation
ASISSE DataHealth and Education (excluding government)

Measurement Approach

  • Quantity-based indicators: Air Transport and Railways (e.g., passenger-kilometres)
  • Value-based indicators: Most other services use turnover, sales, or GST outward supplies
  • Preferred method: Turnover adjusted (deflated) by appropriate price index

Deflators Used

  • WPI: For wholesale trade
  • Sector-specific CPI: Where available
  • CPI General: For banking and insurance
  • CPI Non-Food: For other services

Important Note on Deflators

Since comprehensive Service Producer Price Indices (SPPI) are unavailable, MoSPI uses CPI (Non-Food) as a proxy deflator. This is justified because over 80% of non-food inflation is directly linked to services or their cost-push factors such as energy, transport, and housing.

Implementation Timeline

  • Trial Phase: Experimental/trial indices for 2025-26 and April 2026 to be released from July 2026
  • Regular Dissemination: Monthly release with 60-day lag after stability is ensured

Institutional Framework

  • Technical Advisory Committee (TAC): Chaired by Debjani Ghosh
  • Developing Ministry: Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI)
  • Improved Data Ecosystem: Made possible by high-frequency GST data and launch of Annual Survey of Incorporated Services Sector Enterprises (ASISSE)

Relevance for UPSC Preparation

For Prelims

  • Memorize key facts: base year (2024-25), launch date (July 2026), 50% GVA contribution threshold
  • Remember the deflator choices for different sectors
  • Understand sectors excluded from ISP coverage

For Mains

  • Analyze the significance of ISP for economic monitoring and policy formulation
  • Understand the methodological framework (Laspeyres volume index)
  • Connect with broader topics: GDP measurement, economic reforms, formalization of economy

Related Concepts

Comparison: ISP vs IIP

AspectISPIIP
SectorServicesIndustry
CoverageFormal servicesManufacturing, Mining, Electricity
LaunchJuly 2026Already existing

Connection with GST Data

The availability of high-frequency GST data on outward supplies of service enterprises has been crucial for ISP compilation. Service Accounting Codes (SACs) are mapped to National Industrial Classification (NIC) codes for data categorization.